Three series · no filled-in days

Sentiment over time.

Retail is the live share tally. Media and the market line come from the daily file. A missing source is a gap, not a zero.

Add my shares Methodology

What this chart means

Each line is a different measurement. Retail is self-reported For shares divided by For plus Against. It is not an official vote and not a sample of all holders. A market line is the YES price of one contract. Contracts are not averaged. Media is a headline score only on days a source returned one. A gap means that day had no returned value. It is not drawn as zero.

Other markets

What is in the file

Generated 2026-10-25T00:54:09.279114+00:00.

Other markets, not blended

Each row is a different question or venue. Only the charted Polymarket contract is in the line.
Venue Question Latest YES Chart
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? 16.5% Default line
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? 0.0% Optional
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? 23.0% Optional
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? 65.5% Optional
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? 30.0% Optional
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? 58.5% Optional
Polymarket Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? 0.0% Optional
Manifold Will Tesla and SpaceX officially announce a merger, or a formal merger process, by December 31, 2026? 80.0% Optional
Manifold SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 69.0% Optional
Manifold Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026? 1.0% Optional
Kalshi No open Kalshi market matching SpaceX and a Tesla combination was in the queried pages. — No history